Wednesday, May 5, 2010

Proposition


To the General Assembly:
In response to the “call to action,” the nuclear weapon allegations, and the sanctions that are imposed by many countries, Iran will retaliate by closing and blocking the Strait of Hormuz if more sanctions are made against Iran. A reminder that an average of about 15 tankers carrying 16.5 to 17 million barrels of crude oil normally pass through the Strait of Hormuz every day, making it one of the world's most strategic straits. This represents 40% of the world's seaborne oil shipments, and 20% of all world shipments. If the USA, UN, France, Saudi Arabia, and Israel threaten us with sanctions we will hold hostage nearly a third of the world's oil supply by blocking the Strait of Hormuz. International Security contended that if Iran chooses to seal off or impede traffic in the Strait for a month, an attempt by the U.S. to reopen it would likely escalate the conflict between us. The majority of oil exported through the Strait of Hormuz travels to Asia, the United States and Western Europe. Currently, three-quarters of all Japan’s oil needs pass through this Strait. If the UN, USA, or any other country chose to fight us, military conflict in the area could cause prices in oil to skyrocket in anticipation of a supply disruption—and to remain high until markets could be assured that the flow of commerce has been restored. The same event happened in Kuwait in 1990, temporarily halting the export of oil, the world price of oil more than doubled merely on the expectation of future shortages.  The price of oil did not return to the pre-invasion level for nearly a year.  Let me warn you that a blockage of the strait would pose a vastly greater threat to the flow of gulf oil, at a time when excess global capacity is lower and the price of oil higher.
Let me also remind you that in 2006 Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, cautioned that although Iran would not be “the initiator of war,” if the United States punished or attacked Iran, then “definitely the shipment of energy from this region, the Strait of Hormuz, will be seriously jeopardized.” The Iranian oil minister made similar comments, hinting that “if the country’s interests are attacked, we will use all our capabilities, and oil is one of them.” 60 percent or a third of known world oil reserves in the Gulf are shipped by sea. Twenty-five million barrels of oil pass through Hormuz every day — the equivalent of about $3 billion dollars. In short, you jeopardize the world economy by forcing sanctions on my country. Now, about the sanctions you wish to force on my country, in a meeting on May 4th, 2010, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran said that relations with the United States might never be repaired if new sanctions were imposed against my country, and that the United Nations atomic agency had no authority to poke its nose into matters like missiles. We accuse the International Atomic Energy Agency of wandering well outside its mandate in raising questions about missile design and other military matters. “The agency has no right to intervene in the missile program of any country,” and “What does that have to do with the purview of the agency?”. It is another “imperfection” in the nuclear nonproliferation treaty. Speaking of the treaty we do not think that it is fair to put sanctions on us and regulate our nuclear programs when every country in the region except Lebanon is planning to build nuclear reactors or has declared an interest in doing so. This year, Turkey signed deals with Russia and South Korea for preliminary studies of a complex on the Black Sea and another on the Mediterranean, with total power of up to 10,000 megawatts — equal to 10 large reactors. Last month Jordan announced a competition between three bidders for a 1,100-megawatt reactor. And Saudi Arabia announced the establishment of an atomic city, named after the king, to promote nuclear power. How can they have freedom to pursue nuclear programs when we can’t.
 We also still believe that the United States and its allies have failed to provide “single credible proof” of allegations that we are hiding an attempt to develop a nuclear bomb of its own.
So in conclusion you obliterate the world economy if you put sanctions on me, you may take a larger toll on your country’s economy by threatening and invading my country on suspicions, like you did in Iraq, and look how that turned out, while you speak of the non nuclear nonproliferation treaty, a very weak plan, and your allies back them up, some of them such as Saudi Arabia and South Korea are aiding, creating, or planning to create nuclear reactors as well, which makes a very weak argument when trying to make sanctions against us about regulating our uclear program, and all this makes your relations with me very fragile.
Also in a response to your “call to action” USA you said, and I quote “Unfortunately in todays meeting Iran made a statement saying that they would take nuclear action if they felt threatened.” You are very wrong, as we said “ that we do not intend to use weapons of mass destruction, but the Iranian people do not surrender to these threats and will force those who make such threats to come to their knees,” that was my direct quote and there was no mention of nuclear action whatsoever, in fact the opposite, and my forcing those people who speak threats against my country to come to their knees, we are doing this by closing the strait of hormuz if you not allow us freedom for nuclear pursuit.

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